Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	União de Coimbra		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	3.8	3.35	1.86
	3.71	3.24	1.92
	3.8	3.35	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.39)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Coimbra
24.3%

Draw
27.4%

SB Castelo Branco
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28.2%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

União de Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Barradas E. ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Barradas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

União de Coimbra is Relegated to

Both teams are now playing unstable.

SB Castelo Branco will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches União de Coimbra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams União de Coimbra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

União de Coimbra - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 26.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.25	Alcains - União de Coimbra	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	União de Coimbra - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Mortágua - União de Coimbra	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Elvas - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTTLL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Peniche - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Pombal	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Alcains	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Os Marialvas - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.12.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	6:1
03.03.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	0:0
05.11.23	União de Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco	2:1

União de Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide