Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro (Castelo Branco)


	SB Castelo Branco		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.77	2.90	2.63	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.51
	2.75	3	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.27)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.54 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
33%

Draw
31.1%

Vitória de Sernache
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SB Castelo Branco's form might have worsened.

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória de Sernache's recent form is better than expected.

SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 1.

SB Castelo Branco might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Os Marialvas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	SB Castelo Branco - Naval	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	União de Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTWW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.08.25	Vitória de Sernache - Eléctrico	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Os Marialvas - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	União de Santarém - Vitória de Sernache	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Peniche - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	1:1
12.11.23	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.22	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	2:1
19.09.21	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	1:1
21.03.21	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	0:0
15.11.20	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	3:1

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