Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Gouveia		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.15	1.25
	9.25	4.46	1.22
	7.04	4.82	1.36	Watch
	12	4	1.25
	13	4.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.96 ↑ (6.98)	4.61 ↑ (4.13)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gouveia
9.1%

Draw
19.6%

Vila Meã
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

22%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

17.4%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Meã's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gouveia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Meã, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gouveia - Vila Meã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Gouveia is Relegated to

Gouveia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vila Meã has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vila Meã is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gouveia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.03.26	Gouveia - União Lamas	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alpendorada - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gouveia - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Florgrade - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gouveia - Leça	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.03.26	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	União Lamas - Vila Meã	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Vila Meã - Gouveia	2:1

Gouveia - Vila Meã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide