Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Gouveia		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	8.1	4.55	1.3
	8.13	4.19	1.35
	10.49	4.61	1.28	Watch
	8.5	4	1.33
	6.21	3.93	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.29 ↑ (5.55)	4.26 ↑ (3.83)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gouveia
11%

Draw
21.5%

Cinfães
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.7%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

23.6%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gouveia's form might have worsened.

Cinfães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cinfães's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gouveia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cinfães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gouveia - Cinfães Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Gouveia is Relegated to

Gouveia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cinfães has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cinfães is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gouveia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cinfaes	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Florgrade - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gouveia - Leça	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Vila Real - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gouveia - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Aparecida - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLTL
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Cinfães - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cinfães - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Cinfães - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Leça - Cinfães	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.11.25	Cinfães - Gouveia	3:0

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