Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.75
	1.95	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.96	3.33	4.53
	2	3.17	4.03	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4.4
	1.89	3.38	4.08	Watch
	1.96	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	4.09 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
48.4%

Draw
28.7%

Atlético Goianiense
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Grêmio Novorizontino have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Novorizontino (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Novorizontino (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 20. Castrillon N. 26. Gabriel Bahia 4. Patrick 66. Maykon Jesus 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 41. Reidiney 10. Romulo 16. Vinicius Paiva 11. Robson (C)	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Adriano Martins (C) 6. Guilherme 5. Leandro Vilela 8. Cristiano 7. Bruno Jose 10. Guilherme 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho
Substitutes
9. Carlao 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 27. Diego Mathias 14. Eduardo Brock 77. Helio Borges 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 17. Matheus Bianqui 30. Nicolas Careca 8. Ortiz C. 5. Sander 15. Tavinho	20. Assis 13. Barreto Viera O. J. 17. Felipe Guimaraes 18. Gabriel Dias 15. Gustavo Daniel 19. Leo Jaco 16. Marrony 14. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G)
Coaches
Moreira E.	Renan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Luis Oyama ⚽, Reidiney (A),
45+2', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Guilherme ↓, Gustavo Daniel ↑,
46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Assis ↑,
63', Reidiney ↓, Juninho ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Robson ⚽, Juninho (A),
70', Bruno Jose ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
70', Ewerthon ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
74', Leo Naldi ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
74', Gabriel Bahia ↓, Ivan Alvarino ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Romulo ⚽, Robson (A),
82', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
82', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
84', Geovany Soares ↓, Gabriel Dias ↑,
88', Castrillon N. 🟨,
90+3', Juninho 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 12).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Carlinhos (Inactive) Dantas (Inactive) Lucas Pereira (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive) Matheus Bianqui (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Sander (Inactive)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Novorizontino: Lora J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Geovane (Inactive) Igor Henrique (Inactive) Lima (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	25	54
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52

Last Results with these Odds

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.37%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
26.06.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
10.06.26	Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:4 ✺
31.05.26	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWT
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	3:3 ✺
08.06.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
04.05.25	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
01.11.23	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2
07.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	2:2

Upcoming Matches