The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 45.6%
Draw 29.1%
Atlético Goianiense 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
27.6%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.3%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
44.4%
11.1%
Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 23.4% – 70.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto (C) 4. Ze Marcos 60. Felipinho 6. Biel Fonseca 58. Ze Lucas 30. Chrystian Barletta 7. Yago Felipe 95. Iury Castilho 9. Pedro Perotti
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 14. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 8. Cristiano 5. Leandro Vilela 10. Guilherme (C) 7. Bruno Jose 11. Geovany Soares 9. Marrony
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G) 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 47. Fabio Matheus 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 3. Marcelo Ajul 31. Marlon Douglas 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins 23. Ze Gabriel
17. Assis 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 16. Felipe Guimaraes 19. Gabriel Dias 15. Klebert 20. Leo Jaco 18. Leo Tocantins 13. Nata 12. Vladimir (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Felipinho (A),
40', Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
58', Augusto ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
63', Bruno Jose ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
70', Iury Castilho ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
70', Ze Lucas ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
79', Biel Fonseca ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
79', Ewerthon ↓, Gabriel Dias ↑,
79', Marrony ↓, Klebert ↑,
85', Tito 🟨,
90', Guilherme 🟨,
90+1', Guilherme ↓, Assis ↑,
90+5', de Pena Carlos 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Leo Jaco ⚽, Tito (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Recife: Clayson
(Injury)
Madson
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Atlético GO: Geovane
(Inactive)
Gustavo Coutinho
(Yellow Cards)
Paulo Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético GO: Lima
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).