Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Goiás		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.82	3.2	Watch
	2.30	2.90	3.10
	2.45	2.88	3.05	Watch
	2.56	2.95	3.3
	2.58	2.72	3.24
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.48	2.81	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.19)	2.83 ↓ (2.92)	3.15 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Goiás
37.6%

Draw
32.9%

Grêmio Novorizontino
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	50%	21.4%

Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Goiás (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 20. Diego Caito 25. Luisao 14. Lucas Ribeiro 6. Nicolas 5. Filipe Machado 8. Juninho (C) 11. Bruno Savio 10. Lucas Lima 15. Garcia E. 9. Anselmo Ramon	93. Jordi (G) 20. Castrillon N. 3. Carlinhos 4. Patrick 66. Maykon Jesus 17. Matheus Bianqui 18. Leo Naldi 16. Vinicius Paiva 10. Romulo 19. Diego Galo 11. Robson (C)
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 54. Djalma Silva 16. Farias H. 21. Jean Carlos 40. Kadu 3. Luiz Felipe 19. Magalhaes J. 32. Murillo (G) 17. Pedrinho 4. Ramon Menezes 2. Rodrigo Soares	9. Carlao 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 26. Gabriel Bahia 77. Helio Borges 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 6. Luis Oyama 30. Nicolas Careca 8. Ortiz C. 41. Reidiney 7. Ronald Barcellos
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Carlinhos ↓, Gabriel Bahia ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Robson ⚽, Romulo (A),
45+4', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', Bruno Savio ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
55', Juninho ↓, Brayann ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Robson ⚽, Castrillon N. (A),
67', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
67', Robson 🟨,
68', Luisao 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
76', 0 - 4, Vinicius Paiva ⚽, Romulo (A),
78', Matheus Bianqui ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
78', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
78', Diego Caito ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
78', Nicolas ↓, Djalma Silva ↑,
78', Diego Galo ↓, Juninho ↑,
84', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
86', Filipe Machado ↓, Baldoria ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

Goiás is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Novorizontino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Goiás might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Goiás: Gege (Injury) Tadeu (Inactive)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Diego Mathias (Inactive) Eduardo Brock (Injury) Lora J. (Inactive) Luis Oyama (Injury) Nicolas Careca (Injury) Paulo Henrique (Inactive) Sander (Inactive)

There are questionable in Goiás: Cadu (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Novorizontino: 12.63% Goias: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	25	54
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Last Results with these Odds

Goiás - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.29%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
30.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Avaí - Goiás	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Goiás - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Cruzeiro - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.26	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
27.05.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
20.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.05.26	Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.11.25	Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
23.07.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás	1:0
24.11.24	Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
04.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás	2:1

Upcoming Matches