The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Sorriso 23.1%
Draw 27.9%
Operário Ltda 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
27.5%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
20.6%
56.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Sorriso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Sorriso's form might have worsened.
Operário Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ltda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Sorriso than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ltda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
1st leg.
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Matogrossense (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Matogrossense (Play Offs)).
Grêmio Sorriso is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Operário Ltda in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recently Grêmio Sorriso have a series of guest games.
Recently Operário Ltda have a series of home games.
In this match Operário Ltda is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio Sorriso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.