Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Grama		Castelldefels

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.68	3.15	4.95
	1.67	3.3	5.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	4.94 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grama
53.8%

Draw
28%

Castelldefels
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The chances for Castelldefels have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Grama - Castelldefels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grama won 2.

Recent matches Grama is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castelldefels is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Grama is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Grama won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Grama won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Badalona - Grama	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Grama - San Cristóbal	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Grama - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Grama - Peralada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLWWW
- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Peralada - Castelldefels	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Vilafranca - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Castelldefels - LEscala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Grama - Castelldefels	1:0
23.10.22	Castelldefels - Grama	1:0
06.03.22	Grama - Castelldefels	1:0
31.10.21	Castelldefels - Grama	2:1
09.05.21	Castelldefels - Grama	2:1
18.04.21	Grama - Castelldefels	1:0
06.01.19	Grama - Castelldefels	0:2

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