Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Grama		Mollerussa

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.82	3.3	3.9
	1.79	3.29	4.60	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.9
	1.77	3.34	4.23
	1.84	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grama
50.1%

Draw
27.5%

Mollerussa
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mollerussa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mollerussa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Grama - Mollerussa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Fran ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Fran ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Grama is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grama won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Grama	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
15	Mollerussa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.12.25	San Cristóbal - Grama	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Grama - Cornellà	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Badalona - Grama	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grama - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Grama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLT
- CFJ Mollerussa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.12.25	Mollerussa - Tona	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lleida - Mollerussa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Mollerussa - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	LEscala - Mollerussa	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Grama - Mollerussa	2:2
22.12.24	Mollerussa - Grama	0:2
04.02.24	Mollerussa - Grama	1:0
17.09.23	Grama - Mollerussa	1:0

Grama - Mollerussa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide