Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Gramadense		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.68	2.82	2.62
	2.84	2.73	2.59
	2.86	2.71	2.81	Watch
	2.89	2.96	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.45)	2.82 ↓ (3)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gramadense
32.6%

Draw
32.3%

Novo Hamburgo
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gramadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gramadense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Gramadense - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hamburgo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburgo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Gramadense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamburgo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hamburgo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gramadense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Gramadense
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Gramadense	4:0 ✺
20.07.25	Gramadense - Veranopolis	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Gramadense	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Gramadense - Lajeadense	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Real SC - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTW
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Gramadense	4:0 ✺
23.07.25	Real SC - Novo Hamburgo	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Gramadense	4:0

Gramadense - Novo Hamburgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide