Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Inter Santa Maria		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.18	2.78	3.4
	2.27	2.62	3.53
	2.29	2.74	3.65	Watch
	2.2	2.94	3.48
	2.26	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.4 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Maria
40.9%

Draw
32.3%

Novo Hamburgo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

31.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Inter SM might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter SM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Inter SM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Inter Santa Maria	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Inter Santa Maria - Veranopolis	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Veranopolis - Inter Santa Maria	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Inter Santa Maria - GE Bagé	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	GE Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWT
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Inter Santa Maria	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Aimoré - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	3:1 ✺
05.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Gramadense	5:1 ✺
30.07.25	Gramadense - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Inter Santa Maria	3:2
20.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo	1:0

Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide