Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Real SC		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	5.7	3.75	1.49
	5.62	3.41	1.66	Watch
	6.99	3.56	1.48
	6	3.65	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (6)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real SC
15.1%

Draw
25.3%

Novo Hamburgo
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

24.9%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

24.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Real SC - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Matheus Batista ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Clayton ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 🟥,
88', 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Real SC is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburgo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hamburgo is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real SC Capão da Canoa
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.07.25	Real SC - Passo Fundo	1:3 ✺
16.07.25	Frederiquense - Real SC	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Real SC - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
24.06.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Real SC	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Real SC - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLL
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.07.25	Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Frederiquense - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Novo Hamburgo - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTTT

Real SC - Novo Hamburgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide