The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Novo Hamburgo 53.9%
Draw 28.7%
Gramadense 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
26%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
25.2%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Gramadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Novo Hamburgo - Gramadense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Andrade Z. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Allison ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Matheus Batista ⚽,
63', 4 - 0, Matheus Batista ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, Wesley Pacheco ⚽,
76', 5 - 1, Allison ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Hamburgo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Gramadense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Gramadense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hamburgo is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
Including home match between the teams, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
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