Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday
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Gran Peña |
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RC Villalbes |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.85 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.05 |
2.62 |
|
 |
2.65 |
2.96 |
2.74 |
 Watch |
 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
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2.48 |
3.04 |
2.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.5) |
2.94 ↓
(3.1) |
2.9 ↑
(2.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gran Peña
37.8% | Draw
30.9% | RC Villalbes
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Gran Peña - RC Villalbes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 44', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).Gran Peña has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villalbes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Racing Club Villalbes | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
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| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 11.01.26 | RC Villalbes - Gran Peña | 1:0 | | 16.03.25 | RC Villalbes - Gran Peña | 0:0 | | 03.11.24 | Gran Peña - RC Villalbes | 1:2 | | 11.02.23 | Gran Peña - RC Villalbes | 2:2 | | 16.10.22 | RC Villalbes - Gran Peña | 1:1 |
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