Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Compostela		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.15
	1.56	3.73	5.75
	1.63	3.52	5.40	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.54	3.64	5.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	5.39 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
57.4%

Draw
25.8%

Gran Peña
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

25.7%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Compostela - Gran Peña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Compostela have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gran Peña is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Compostela is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Compostela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Gran Pena	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Noia - Compostela	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Compostela - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Barbadás - Compostela	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Compostela - Alondras	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lugo B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWWL
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Gran Peña - Silva SD	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Céltiga - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Gran Peña - Juventud Cambados	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Boiro - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Gran Peña - Barco	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1

Compostela - Gran Peña