Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Arosa		RC Villalbes

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.92	3.6
	2.07	2.95	3.83
	2.05	3.29	3.47	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.75
	1.98	2.92	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
44.8%

Draw
30.6%

RC Villalbes
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Arosa - RC Villalbes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Arosa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 1.

Arosa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Villalbes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Villalbes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arosa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Racing Club Villalbes	5	2	3	0	7:5	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Arosa - Somozas	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Montañeros - Arosa	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Arosa - Viveiro	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Noia - Arosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW
- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	RC Villalbes - Barco	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Compostela - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	RC Villalbes - Estradense	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Somozas - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	RC Villalbes - Montañeros	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	RC Villalbes - Arosa	3:1
09.02.25	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:1
29.09.24	RC Villalbes - Arosa	0:1
20.05.23	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:2
13.05.23	RC Villalbes - Arosa	1:1
23.04.23	RC Villalbes - Arosa	2:1
08.01.23	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:1

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