Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lugo B		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.35
	1.99	3	3.91
	2.02	3.02	3.85
	2	2.88	3.75
	1.98	2.94	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo B
45.2%

Draw
30.6%

Gran Peña
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

31.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Lugo B - Gran Peña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lugo B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugo B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Gran Pena	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Silva SD - Lugo B	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Estradense - Lugo B	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lugo B - Céltiga	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Juventud Cambados - Lugo B	0:1 ✺
19.03.26	Lugo B - Boiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Viveiro - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Compostela - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gran Peña - Silva SD	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Céltiga - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Gran Peña - Juventud Cambados	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Gran Peña - Lugo B	2:3

Lugo B - Gran Peña