Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Granada B		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.4	2.87	2.05
	3.6	3	2.15
	3.67	3.01	2.17
	3.67	3.01	2.18
	3.53	3.13	2.11
	3.35	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)	2.12 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
26.5%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Madrid B
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.9%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Granada B - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tristan P. (G) 17. Estacio X. 34. Naasei Oppong O. 23. Lopez D. 18. Gutierrez E. 20. Clavijo D. 8. Lendinez J. 7. Gonzalez M. 14. Saenz P. 30. Rodelas S. 16. Griger A.	1. Gomis A. (G) 4. Gomez M. 15. Martinez D. 22. Perez P. 18. Aguilar Lopez G. 8. Mini 23. Gismera A. 7. Bri D. 10. Calatrava A. 17. Nino A. 9. Touaizi N.
Substitutes
27. Alonso Fontes M. D. 25. Arbol F. (G) 5. Bosch M. . Cantal P. 2. Castro R. 19. Ibarrondo A. 6. Masllorens J. 29. Mortimer N. 22. Osei P. 10. Perez C. 15. Sangare L. 4. Van Rijn N.	2. Arumi J. 3. Halhal R. . Maroto M. 6. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 20. Monserrate J. 14. Moreno M. 19. Ndiaye Dione A. 21. Raihani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Clavijo D. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Martinez D. 🟨,
61', Bri D. ↓, Ndiaye Dione A. ↑,
61', Touaizi N. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
63', Mestanza A. 🟨,
66', Estacio X. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Rodelas S. ⚽,
75', Estacio X. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
77', Mini ↓, Raihani A. ↑,
80', Clavijo D. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
80', Gutierrez E. ↓, Osei P. ↑,
88', Calatrava A. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
89', Rodelas S. 🟨,
89', Rodelas S. ↓, Bosch M. ↑,
89', Griger A. ↓, Cantal P. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Granada B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Madrid B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Madrid B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.03.24	Melilla - Granada B	4:3 ✺
10.03.24	Granada B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Algeciras - Granada B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Granada B - Antequera	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Granada B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	San Fernando - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Atlético Madrid B - Granada B	3:2

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