Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Granada B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.05	2.8	3.5
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.01	3.78
	2.17	3.01	3.78
	2.15	2.96	3.63
	2.09	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.21)	3.01 ↓ (3.35)	3.56 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
43.7%

Draw
30.5%

Granada B
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Granada B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Loren 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 12. Macias A. 11. Bandaogo A. 10. Gonzalez J. (C) 22. Alassan A. 20. Garcia D. 17. Perez S. 23. Niang M.	25. Arbol F. (G) 2. Castro R. 34. Naasei Oppong O. 23. Lopez D. 22. Osei P. 20. Clavijo D. 7. Gonzalez M. 14. Saenz P. 8. Lendinez J. 30. Rodelas S. 16. Griger A.
Substitutes
8. Cotan A. 6. Hernandez P. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Koffi 21. Mateo J. 7. Morillo V. 5. Selasi R. 18. Siddiki O. 24. Victores A. (G) 3. Yuste A.	27. Alonso Fontes M. D. 36. Bello E. 5. Bosch M. 17. Estacio X. 18. Gutierrez E. 19. Ibarrondo A. 6. Masllorens J. 10. Perez C. 15. Sangare L. 13. Tristan P. (G) 4. Van Rijn N. 38. Zalazar Martinez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Caro J. 🟨,
33', Lopez D. ⚽,
39', Griger A. ⚽,
43', Lendinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Niang M. ↓, Jose Enrique ↑,
48', 🟨,
51', Rodelas S. ⚽,
56', Gonzalez J. ↓, Selasi R. ↑,
56', Garcia D. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
60', Lendinez J. ↓, Sangare L. ↑,
60', Griger A. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
67', Loren ⚽,
69', 🟨,
74', Gonzalez M. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
81', Bandaogo A. 🟨,
83', Castro R. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
83', Saenz P. ↓, Estacio X. ↑,
84', Caro J. ⚽,
90+2', Siddiki O. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1.

Melilla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Granada B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Melilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Melilla won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.03.24	Intercity - Melilla	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Melilla - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Córdoba - Melilla	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Melilla - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Melilla - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLW
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.03.24	Granada B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Algeciras - Granada B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Granada B - Antequera	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Granada B	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Granada B - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.02.22	Granada B - Melilla	1:0
18.09.21	Melilla - Granada B	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.02.19	Melilla - Granada B	1:1
30.09.18	Granada B - Melilla	5:1
Club Friendly
06.08.18	Granada B - Melilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.05.18	Granada B - Melilla	0:2

Melilla - Granada B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide