Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Granada B		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.5	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.69	3.16	2.13
	3.69	3.16	2.13
	3.54	3.2	2.07
	3.5	3.1	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.02)	3.12 ↑ (2.87)	2.07 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
26.1%

Draw
29.5%

Ceuta
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

32.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

32.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Granada B - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arbol F. (G) 17. Estacio X. 5. Bosch M. 4. Van Rijn N. 18. Gutierrez E. 20. Clavijo D. 8. Lendinez J. 29. Mortimer N. 10. Perez C. 30. Rodelas S. 9. Julito	1. Lopez P. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 20. Danese F. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 21. Lopez J. 8. Melendez A. 12. Uche C. 3. Rodriguez C. 22. Teguia C. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
36. Bello E. 26. Cantal P. 2. Castro R. 7. Gonzalez M. 16. Griger A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 6. Masllorens J. 33. Naasei Oppong O. 22. Osei P. 14. Saenz P. 15. Sangare L. 13. Tristan P. (G)	4. Caparros A. 15. Doncel C. 18. El Ftouhi S. 17. Garcia A. 11. Garcia P. 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Iglesias J. 14. Rico M. 2. Rodriguez F. 19. Romera D. 24. Stopajnik T. (G)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Granada B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ceuta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.03.24	Algeciras - Granada B	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Granada B - Antequera	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Granada B	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Granada B - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ibiza - Granada B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLLL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.03.24	Ceuta - Intercity	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Ceuta - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Castellón - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.11.23	Ceuta - Granada B	1:0

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