Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	Granada B		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.52	3.03	2.91
	2.7	2.7	2.62
	2.6	2.88	2.91
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.19)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)	2.77 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
35.4%

Draw
31.7%

Real Avilés
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada B's form might have worsened.

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granada B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Avilés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Granada B - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Granada B in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Avilés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Granada B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.05.23	Granada B - Utebo	3:3 ✺
20.05.23	Utebo - Granada B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.05.23	Granada B - Betis B	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	San Roque de Lepe - Granada B	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Granada B - Yeclano Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.05.23	Real Avilés - Gernika	3:0 ✺
21.05.23	Gernika - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Real Avilés - Zamora	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Langreo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTWT

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