Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Gernika		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.66	2.86	2.84
	2.55	2.75	2.7
	2.84	2.88	2.67
	2.55	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.8)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)	2.69 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
34.4%

Draw
31.8%

Real Avilés
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gernika - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Gernika is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.05.23	Mutilvera - Gernika	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Gernika - San Juan	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Alavés B - Gernika	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Beasain - Gernika	3:2 ✺
16.04.23	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.05.23	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Real Avilés - Zamora	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Langreo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Real Avilés - Ourense CF	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Burgos Promesas - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTLW

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