Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Avilés		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.72	3.1	2.52
	2.37	3.1	2.66
	2.7	3.17	2.61	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.64	3.21	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.66)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
35.1%

Draw
29.3%

Zamora
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Real Avilés - Zamora Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. (C) 16. Gomez A. 26. Menendez O. 22. Isi Ros 8. Bautista K. 23. Rivera C. 14. Cayarga B. 9. Santamaria A. 11. Rubio R.	1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Lopez S. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 22. Sancho J. 7. Kike 9. Losada M. 19. Abde
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 17. Bari Q. 10. Cueto J. 18. Gete A. 12. Grigore R. 7. Luis Alcalde 19. Poquet N.	4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 27. Sy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Gomez A. 🟨,
31', Lozano M. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Abde ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Lopez S. 🟨,
53', Santamaria A. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
59', Isi Ros 🟨,
72', Ramos C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
75', Campabadal E. ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
75', Rubio R. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
80', Isi Ros ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
80', Abde ↓, Buron L. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Codina M. 🟨,
87', Sancho J. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Losada M. ⚽, Codina M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).

Real Avilés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zamora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Avilés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.02.26	Tenerife - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
31.01.26	Real Avilés - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLLL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.03.26	Zamora - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mérida AD - Zamora	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Zamora - Real Avilés	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.03.24	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:1
12.11.23	Zamora - Real Avilés	1:0
07.05.23	Real Avilés - Zamora	2:1
08.01.23	Zamora - Real Avilés	1:1

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