Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kauniaisten keskuskenttä (Kauniainen)


	Grankulla IFK		PPJ

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.75	3.6
	1.84	3.72	3.71
				Watch
	1.8	4	3.2
	1.8	3.8	3.85
	1.81	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.51)	3.78 ↓ (4.5)	3.56 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grankulla IFK
50.2%

Draw
24.1%

PPJ
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

19.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grankulla IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grankulla IFK's form might have worsened.

PPJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PPJ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grankulla IFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PPJ than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PPJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Grankulla IFK - PPJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. GrIFK will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampen N. (G) 15. Abdi H. 6. Arrakoski A. (C) 16. Beijar A. 5. Dubova K. 27. Mazouz A. 3. Ndongala J. 24. Rosenstrom T. 25. Sormunen L. 23. Tiilikainen V. 21. Uomala S.	25. Arminen N. (G) 16. Kahelin R. 8. Kari T. 35. Kilpelainen A. 28. Loukojarvi T. 15. Ouazine R. 17. Pitkanen O. 7. Puttonen P. 10. Sjolund S. (C) 6. Smidtslund R. 40. Sperryn R.
Substitutes
26. Bergman J. 18. Estlander O. 13. Hellsten H. 2. Kulmala M. 12. Patronen A. (G) 20. Pulkkinen N.	27. Eronen N. 19. Eskola J. 88. Layne P. 3. Mustonen T. 72. Singh R. (G) 12. Tapaninen A. 44. Turkulainen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Ndongala J. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Ouazine R. ⚽,
37', Kari T. ↓, Eskola J. ↑,
41', Mazouz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mazouz A. ↓, Bergman J. ↑,
46', Sperryn R. ↓, Mustonen T. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Ouazine R. ⚽,
61', Sormunen L. ↓, Hellsten H. ↑,
61', Abdi H. ↓, Pulkkinen N. ↑,
69', Tiilikainen V. 🟨,
73', Puttonen P. ↓, Tapaninen A. ↑,
73', Rosenstrom T. ↓, Estlander O. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Ouazine R. ⚽,
82', Beijar A. ↓, Kulmala M. ↑,
85', Kahelin R. ↓, Layne P. ↑,
85', Ouazine R. ↓, Eronen N. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

GrIFK is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PPJ has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

PPJ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GrIFK is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches GrIFK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Cup
25.06.24	Inter Turku - Grankulla IFK	6:1 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.06.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	Grankulla IFK - MuSa	3:2 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.06.24	Grankulla IFK - Kiffen 08	3:1 ✺
31.05.24	MYPA - Grankulla IFK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT
- Pallo-Pojat Juniorit Helsinki
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
29.06.24	PPJ - MYPA	0:2 ✺
25.06.24	MYPA - PPJ	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	PPJ - Ekenäs	1:2 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
13.06.24	NJS - PPJ	0:0 ✺
07.06.24	PPJ - Lahden Reipas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
26.04.24	PPJ - Grankulla IFK	2:3

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