Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A

Date: 7 June 2024, Friday

Location: Jätkäsaaren liikuntapuisto (Helsinki)


	PPJ		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.63
	4.5	4	1.63
	4.34	4.23	1.61
	4.33	4.23	1.62
	4.2	4	1.55
	4.43	4.25	1.62
	4.2	4.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.38)	4.1 ↑ (3.6)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PPJ
21.3%

Draw
22.2%

Lahden Reipas
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.1%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.5%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PPJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PPJ's form might have worsened.

Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lahden Reipas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PPJ than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lahden Reipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

PPJ - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arminen N. (G) 19. Eskola J. 4. Hakulinen O. 35. Kilpelainen A. 28. Loukojarvi T. 15. Ouazine R. 17. Pitkanen O. 10. Sjolund S. 6. Smidtslund R. 12. Tapaninen A. 44. Turkulainen R.	1. Inkeroinen L. (G) 24. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 25. Belabid A. 20. Hertsi L. 16. Jarvenpaa L. 15. Klinga M. 7. Kose B. 10. Kose O. 22. Nieminen E. 21. Niskanen R. 23. Oksanen N.
Substitutes
27. Eronen N. 8. Kari T. 21. Liikanen S. (G) 3. Mustonen T. 43. Ogorodnikov V. 2. Salmela E. 40. Sperryn R.	17. Kettunen T. 18. Kurki V. 6. Lubanzila S. 5. Ndabawedje C. 14. Paalanen A. 13. Ratto V. (G) 9. Shala D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kose B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Smidtslund R. 🟨,
60', Tapaninen A. ↓, Kari T. ↑,
63', Belabid A. ↓, Shala D. ↑,
76', Kilpelainen A. ↓, Mustonen T. ↑,
77', Ala-Kauhaluoma L. ↓, Kettunen T. ↑,
83', Smidtslund R. ↓, Ogorodnikov V. ↑,
88', Kose B. ↓, Kurki V. ↑,
88', Hertsi L. ↓, Ndabawedje C. ↑,
90', Shala D. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallo-Pojat Juniorit Helsinki
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
31.05.24	Kiffen 08 - PPJ	3:2 ✺
25.05.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - PPJ	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	PPJ - Futura Porvoo	2:1 ✺
13.05.24	JaPS 2 - PPJ	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.24	PPJ - JaPS 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWLW
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.06.24	Lahden Reipas - JaPS 2	5:0 ✺
30.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Atlantis 2	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Futura Porvoo - Lahden Reipas	1:6 ✺
18.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - Lahden Reipas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
23.08.23	PPJ - Lahden Reipas	0:2
11.08.23	Lahden Reipas - PPJ	1:3
05.08.22	PPJ - Lahden Reipas	0:3
21.05.22	Lahden Reipas - PPJ	1:0

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