Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Grantham Town		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.66
	4.3	3.85	1.62
	4.55	4.08	1.67
	3.75	3.75	1.73
	4.35	3.9	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.94)	3.88 ↑ (3.76)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grantham Town
21.9%

Draw
23.5%

Matlock Town
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.6%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

19.9%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grantham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matlock Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grantham Town - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Grantham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matlock is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Matlock is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Grantham won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Grantham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	Grantham Town - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
05.10.21	Stalybridge Celtic - Grantham Town	5:0 ✺
02.10.21	Witton Albion - Grantham Town	1:4 ✺
28.09.21	Grantham Town - Nantwich Town	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Grantham Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	Atherton Collieries - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
05.10.21	Matlock Town - Mickleover Sports	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Matlock Town - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
28.09.21	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.10.20	Grantham Town - Matlock Town	0:1
English FA Cup
03.10.20	Grantham Town - Matlock Town	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
03.09.19	Matlock Town - Grantham Town	2:2
23.02.19	Grantham Town - Matlock Town	2:0
23.10.18	Matlock Town - Grantham Town	7:0
01.01.18	Grantham Town - Matlock Town	2:1
28.08.17	Matlock Town - Grantham Town	2:3

Grantham Town - Matlock Town

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Grantham Town - Matlock Town Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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