Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Radcliffe		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.5	4.8
	1.4	5	5.5
	1.44	5.39	5.18
	1.44	5.39	5.18
	1.4	4.5	5
	1.39	4.8	5.92
	1.4	5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)	5.08 ↓ (5.6)	5.3 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
64.8%

Draw
17.9%

Matlock Town
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

16.6%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

15.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radcliffe's form might have worsened.

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matlock Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radcliffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matlock Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Radcliffe - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Oyibo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Navarro L. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Navarro L. ⚽,
76', 4 - 0, Navarro L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 1.

Recent matches Radcliffe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matlock is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radcliffe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Matlock have a series of home games.

In this match Radcliffe is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Radcliffe - Ashton United	2:5 ✺
19.03.24	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Guiseley - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Matlock Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Matlock Town - Whitby Town	1:5 ✺
16.03.24	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Matlock Town - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.11.23	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0
03.12.22	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	2:2
16.08.22	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	1:0
29.03.22	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	0:0
28.09.21	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	0:1
04.02.20	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0
19.10.19	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	1:0

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