Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Grantham Town		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.82
	3.6	3.85	1.74
	3.69	4.25	1.79
	3.3	3.75	1.83
	3.94	3.85	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.18)	3.89 ↑ (3.62)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grantham Town
25.6%

Draw
23.4%

United of Manchester
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

16.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grantham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting United of Manchester's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grantham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United of Manchester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grantham Town - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Grantham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

United of Manchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

United of Manchester will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Grantham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Grantham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Grantham Town	2:0 ✺
08.01.22	Grantham Town - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
01.01.22	Basford United - Grantham Town	0:1 ✺
27.12.21	Grantham Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Whitby Town - Grantham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWTL
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
25.01.22	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	3:4 ✺
22.01.22	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1 ✺
15.01.22	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
01.01.22	Radcliffe - United of Manchester	3:3 ✺
27.12.21	United of Manchester - Ashton United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.10.21	United of Manchester - Grantham Town	0:1
21.12.19	United of Manchester - Grantham Town	4:0
17.08.19	Grantham Town - United of Manchester	3:2
28.02.15	Grantham Town - United of Manchester	1:2
20.09.14	United of Manchester - Grantham Town	3:1
15.04.14	United of Manchester - Grantham Town	3:0
31.08.13	Grantham Town - United of Manchester	1:4

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