Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.35	3.55
	1.87	3.88	3.62	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.8	3.48	4
	1.9	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
49.5%

Draw
25.9%

Ashton United
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

United of Manchester - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Coghill D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, United of Manchester has had a series of away games.

In this match, United of Manchester is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, United of Manchester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ashton Utd	10	3	3	4	12:11	1	12
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
27.12.25	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Halifax Town - United of Manchester	4:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWL
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Ashton United - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Prescot Cables - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ashton United - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Guiseley - Ashton United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Ashton United - United of Manchester	3:1
01.01.25	Ashton United - United of Manchester	2:0
26.08.24	United of Manchester - Ashton United	1:2
01.04.24	United of Manchester - Ashton United	0:2
26.12.23	Ashton United - United of Manchester	1:2
10.04.23	Ashton United - United of Manchester	0:5
26.12.22	United of Manchester - Ashton United	4:0

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