Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester) 🌤️ ...


	United of Manchester		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.33	3.38
	1.78	4.41	3.55	Watch
	1.75	4.25	3.30
	1.69	3.78	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	4.19 ↓ (4.29)	3.55 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
52.4%

Draw
21.8%

Whitby Town
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.4%

21.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

21.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

United of Manchester - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Le Fondre A. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Donohue M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Hickman C. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Hickman C. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Watson N. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Le Fondre A. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 3.

Recent results have been tough for United of Manchester (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Whitby has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Whitby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Whitby has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

United of Manchester carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, United of Manchester has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:21 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for United of Manchester against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Whitby	15	6	1	8	22:37	-15	19
20	FC United	14	2	5	7	20:26	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Whitby Town - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.96%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English FA Cup
20.10.26	United of Manchester - Altrincham	2:6 ✺
17.10.26	Altrincham - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
13.10.26	United of Manchester - Emley	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Alfreton Town - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTTL
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
17.10.26	Whitby Town - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
13.10.26	Workington - Whitby Town	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	0:0 ✺
06.10.26	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:6 ✺
29.09.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	1:3
19.08.25	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	3:1
18.04.25	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	2:3
20.08.24	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	0:0
26.03.24	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	1:2
23.09.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	1:1
07.01.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	2:2

United of Manchester - Whitby Town