Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Manfredonia		Gravina

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.15	2.92
	2.25	3.26	2.93	Watch
	2.25	3.16	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manfredonia
40.6%

Draw
28.4%

Gravina
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Manfredonia - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gravina	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11
7	Manfredonia	6	3	2	1	10:6	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manfredonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.03.26	Città di Fasano - Manfredonia	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Manfredonia - Paganese	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Normanna - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Manfredonia - Ferrandina	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Martina Calcio - Manfredonia	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
22.03.26	Gravina - Barletta	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sarnese - Gravina	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Gravina - Pompei	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Virtus Francavilla - Gravina	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gravina - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Gravina - Manfredonia	0:0
23.03.25	Gravina - Manfredonia	2:2
20.12.23	Manfredonia - Gravina	2:1
27.11.16	Manfredonia - Gravina	1:2

Manfredonia - Gravina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide