Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Gravina		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.52
	2.59	3.1	2.59	Watch
	2.55	3.04	2.55
	2.66	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	2.55 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
34.8%

Draw
29.8%

Fidelis Andria
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Gravina - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 0.

Gravina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fidelis Andria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gravina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gravina	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11
16	Fidelis Andria	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Heraclea - Gravina	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gravina - Nardo	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Città di Fasano - Gravina	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Gravina - Nola	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Real Normanna - Gravina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.01.26	Fidelis Andria - Martina Calcio	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Paganese - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Fidelis Andria - Barletta	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ferrandina - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Pompei - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Fidelis Andria - Gravina	4:1
13.04.25	Fidelis Andria - Gravina	1:1
28.01.24	Gravina - Fidelis Andria	1:1
18.04.21	Gravina - Fidelis Andria	0:2
06.01.21	Fidelis Andria - Gravina	1:0
10.11.19	Gravina - Fidelis Andria	1:0
16.12.18	Gravina - Fidelis Andria	4:1

Gravina - Fidelis Andria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide