Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 27Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Sarnese |
|
Gravina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.25 |
3.35 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.16 |
3.62 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.28 |
3.6 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
3 |
3.5 |
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2.01 |
3.67 |
3.36 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.21) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
3.49 ↑
(2.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sarnese
46.1% | Draw
27.8% | Gravina
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gravina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Sarnese - Gravina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 12', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 7).Sarnese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gravina is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins). Sarnese could have a small edge in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 02.11.25 | Gravina - Sarnese | 5:1 | | 06.01.19 | Sarnese - Gravina | 1:1 | | 16.09.18 | Gravina - Sarnese | 2:1 | | 14.01.18 | Gravina - Sarnese | 1:0 | | 10.09.17 | Sarnese - Gravina | 2:2 |
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