Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Gravina		Nola

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.55
	2.38	3.45	2.52
	2.40	3.36	2.64	Watch
	2.39	3.26	2.58
	2.4	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 (2.39)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gravina
37.8%

Draw
27%

Nola
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

25.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Nola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Gravina - Nola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Galeazzi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 2, Berardocco L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gravina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gravina	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Gravina - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Real Normanna - Gravina	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Gravina - Afragolese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Paganese - Gravina	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gravina - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Martina Calcio - Gravina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Martina Calcio - Nola	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Nola - Paganese	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ferrandina - Nola	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Nola - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
15.05.22	Nola - Gravina	1:0
22.12.21	Gravina - Nola	1:0
12.12.18	Nola - Gravina	2:1

Gravina - Nola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide