Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Nola		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.3	2.45
	2.46	3.45	2.52	Watch
	2.48	3.26	2.48
	2.5	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.48)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)	2.49 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nola
36.5%

Draw
27.1%

Paganese
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Paganese aligns with the current prediction.

Nola - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Labriola V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nola won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Ferrandina - Nola	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Nola - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Nola - Sarnese	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pompei - Nola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWTW
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Paganese - Gravina	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Afragolese - Paganese	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Paganese - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Paganese - Ferrandina	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Martina Calcio - Paganese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
19.03.23	Paganese - Nola	0:0

Nola - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide