Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Gravina		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	2.68
	2.25	3.31	2.78
	2.28	3.42	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.32	3.13	2.86
	2.28	3.33	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
39.4%

Draw
27.9%

Afragolese
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Gravina - Afragolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gravina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gravina - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Paganese - Gravina	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gravina - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Martina Calcio - Gravina	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gravina - Manfredonia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Gravina - Sarnese	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Real Normanna - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Afragolese - Paganese	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Afragolese - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
05.02.23	Afragolese - Gravina	0:2

Gravina - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide