Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Gravina		Sorrento

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	2	3.05	3.35
	1.96	3.12	3.39
	2	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.09)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
44.9%

Draw
28.6%

Sorrento
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gravina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sorrento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gravina - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Gravina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sorrento is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gravina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gravina won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gravina won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.11.21	Francavilla - Gravina	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Gravina - Città di Brindisi	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Mariglianese - Gravina	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Gravina - Bitonto	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Lavello - Gravina	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWWT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.11.21	Sorrento - Altamura	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Casarano - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Sorrento - Città di Fasano	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Nola - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Sorrento - Gladiator	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
06.06.21	Gravina - Sorrento	3:2
24.03.21	Sorrento - Gravina	1:0
19.01.20	Sorrento - Gravina	2:1
15.09.19	Gravina - Sorrento	1:0
17.02.19	Gravina - Sorrento	2:2
28.10.18	Sorrento - Gravina	1:2

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