Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casarano		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.31	3.9
	1.89	3.36	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3	3.6
	1.97	3.32	3.84	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)	3.22 ↓ (3.63)	3.74 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
47.1%

Draw
28.4%

Sorrento
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Casarano - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 29. Gyamfi B. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 27. Versienti L. 8. D'Alena A. 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 10. Chirico C. 16. Santarcangelo A. 46. Leonetti V.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 81. Portanova D. 15. Solcia D. 46. Colombini L. 23. Cangianiello S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 28. Capezzi L. 3. Crecco L. 16. Ricci F. 11. Esposito M. 90. Sabbatani A.
Substitutes
26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 80. Di Dio F. 24. Gega E. 67. Jacopo L. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G.	20. Bernabeo S. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 24. Diop S. 7. D'Ursi E. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 85. Milan M. 4. Potenza A. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Colombini L. 🟨,
36', Ferrara V. 🟨,
37', D'Alena A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Giraudo F. ⚽,
51', Esposito M. ↓, D'Ursi E. ↑,
62', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
62', Ferrara V. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
64', Gyamfi B. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Versienti L. ⚽,
75', Cangianiello S. ↓, Bernabeo S. ↑,
75', Capezzi L. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
82', Versienti L. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
82', Colombini L. ↓, Milan M. ↑,
90', Giraudo F. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
90', Santarcangelo A. ↓, Martina M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 1.

Casarano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sorrento has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Casarano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Casarano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sorrento - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.71%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Benevento - Casarano	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sorrento - Salernitana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Trapani - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Sorrento - Casarano	3:3
Italian Serie D - Group H
03.04.22	Sorrento - Casarano	3:0
21.11.21	Casarano - Sorrento	1:1
14.03.21	Casarano - Sorrento	1:0
16.02.20	Sorrento - Casarano	7:0
13.10.19	Casarano - Sorrento	0:0

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