Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
World	OneFootball TV


	Grazer AK		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.40
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.89	3.2	2.71
	2.74	3.3	2.59	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.65
	2.77	3.28	2.66	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.4)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.58 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grazer AK
34.1%

Draw
29.4%

Austria Wien
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Grazer AK - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Austria will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Austria (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Grazer (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grazer (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Austria (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Stankovic C. (G) 82. Owusu B. 21. Sollbauer M. 27. Oberleitner Y. 14. Italiano J. 34. Michorl P. (C) 24. Cvetko C. 32. Klassen L. 25. Hofleitner A. 11. Grosse M. 10. Lichtenberger C.	1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 46. Handl J. 15. Dragovic A. 3. Buhari I. 26. Ranftl R. 30. Fischer M. (C) 5. Muller V. 17. Lee Tae-Seok 7. Markovic V. 14. Boateng K. 19. Eggestein J.
Substitutes
48. Gragger M. 30. Hasenhuttl C. 9. Maderner D. 72. Markovic P. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 26. Nicht C. (G) 2. Pines D. 7. Smits A. 3. Vraa L.	4. Feddersen J. 20. Hettwer J. 99. Kos M. (G) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 6. Maybach P. 10. Saljic S. 21. Schablas M. 13. Wedl L. (G) 22. Wustinger F.
Coaches
Scheiblehner G.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Hofleitner A. ⚽, Cvetko C. (A),
16', Ranftl R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Fischer M. ⚽, Boateng K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Italiano J. ⚽, Lichtenberger C. (A),
58', Klassen L. 🟨,
61', Boateng K. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,
64', Oberleitner Y. 🟨,
70', Lee Tae-Seok ↓, Schablas M. ↑,
70', Klassen L. ↓, Gragger M. ↑,
70', Markovic V. ↓, Saljic S. ↑,
72', Handl J. 🟨,
79', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
79', Italiano J. ↓, Markovic P. ↑,
79', Muller V. ↓, Lee Kang-Hee ↑,
79', Handl J. ↓, Wustinger F. ↑,
81', Michorl P. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Lee Kang-Hee ⚽,
83', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
87', Wustinger F. 🟨,
90+3', Sollbauer M. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Grazer has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Grazer: Mandey S. (Inactive) Pines D. (Inactive) Trummer T. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Austria: Botic N. (Broken ankle) Sarkaria M. (Knee Injury) Wiesinger P. (Inactive).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Grazer has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grazer against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Austria Vienna: 0.84% Grazer AK: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6:16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7:13	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Austria Wien - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
12.09.26	Rheindorf Altach - Grazer AK	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	Kitzbühel - Grazer AK	0:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
29.08.26	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ried - Grazer AK	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLL
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
13.09.26	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Austria Wien	0:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.09.26	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Austria Wien - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.01.26	Austria Wien - Grazer AK	2:0
Austrian Bundesliga
08.11.25	Austria Wien - Grazer AK	2:1
03.08.25	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2
01.03.25	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	1:2
05.10.24	Austria Wien - Grazer AK	2:1
Austrian OFB Cup
15.02.19	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:1

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