The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austria Wien 29.5%
Draw 26.6%
Sturm Graz 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
26.6%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
26.2%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Austria Wien - Sturm Graz Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Austria (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 46. Handl J. 15. Dragovic A. 3. Buhari I. 40. Nnodim D. 5. Muller V. 6. Maybach P. 26. Ranftl R. 10. Saljic S. 30. Fischer M. (C) 19. Eggestein J.
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 23. Malic A. 2. Quarshie J. 30. Koller P. 27. Balbo L. 39. Weinhandl L. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 43. Hodl J. 19. Seidl S. 78. Matoshi V. 14. Diakite O.
Substitutes
14. Boateng K. 4. Feddersen J. 20. Hettwer J. 99. Kos M. (G) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 17. Lee Tae-Seok 7. Markovic V. 21. Schablas M. 22. Wustinger F.
26. Beganovic B. 35. Geyrhofer N. 6. Haider G. 40. Halwachs J. 22. Helac A. (G) 11. Kayombo A. 21. Petrovic P. 17. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
Helm S.
Ingolitsch F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Diakite O. ⚽, Weinhandl L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Diakite O. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Diakite O. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
64', Buhari I. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,
64', Maybach P. ↓, Markovic V. ↑,
66', Weinhandl L. 🟨,
77', Helm S. 🟨,
77', Nnodim D. 🟨,
79', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Halwachs J. ↑,
80', Saljic S. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
80', Nnodim D. ↓, Lee Tae-Seok ↑,
86', Fischer M. ↓, Wustinger F. ↑,
86', Hodl J. ↓, Petrovic P. ↑,
90', Balbo L. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 10th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria won 3.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Sturm is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Austria: Botic N.
(Broken ankle)
Sarkaria M.
(Knee Injury)
Wiesinger P.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sturm: Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Heil J.
(Red Card)
Jatta S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soglo E.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sturm: Kiteishvili O.
(Injury)
Mamageishvili G.
(Injury)
Vallci A.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Austria has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:34 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Austria against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 16:20 goals (averaging 1.8:2.2 per game).