Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, Nova Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
World	Onefootball


	Grazer AK		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.56	Watch
	4.95	3.95	1.6
	5.64	4.12	1.63
	5.45	4.17	1.56	Watch
	5.93	4.1	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (5.1)	4.07 ↑ (3.98)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grazer AK
17.2%

Draw
23.3%

Rapid Wien
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.1%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

22.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Grazer AK - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: Rapid Wien will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rapid Wien will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meierhofer J. (G) 3. Vraa-Jensen L. 2. Pines D. 82. Owusu B. 28. Frieser D. 8. Koch T. (C) 6. Fofana S. 14. Italiano J. 25. Hofleitner A. 11. Cipot T. 22. Harakate R.	1. Hedl N. (G) 61. Demir F. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux Yao S. 38. Horn J. 29. Amane R. 18. Seidl M. (C) 15. Wurmbrand N. 90. Antiste J. 17. Gulliksen T. 71. M'Buyi C.
Substitutes
15. Graf L. 18. Jano Z. 4. Kreuzriegler M. 10. Lichtenberger C. 9. Maderner D. 26. Nicht C. (G) 24. Paumgartner T. 7. Satin M. 17. Schiestl T.	20. Ahoussou A. 14. Atemengue M. 23. Auer J. 25. Gartler P. (G) 9. Kara E. 49. Radulovic A. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 41. Weixelbraun D.
Coaches
Feldhofer F.	Stoger P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Cipot T. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Antiste J. ⚽,
27', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
45+2', Koch T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Koch T. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
65', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
77', Raux Yao S. ↓, Ahoussou A. ↑,
77', Gulliksen T. ↓, Atemengue M. ↑,
78', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
81', Cipot T. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
81', Vraa-Jensen L. ↓, Kreuzriegler M. ↑,
82', Frieser D. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
85', Feldhofer F. 🟨,
86', Demir F. ↓, Auer J. ↑,
88', Seidl M. 🟨,
90+2', Tilio M. 🟨,
90+3', Antiste J. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Maderner D. (Pen),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

Grazer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rapid is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rapid is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Groller A. (Knock) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
13.09.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Grazer AK	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Grazer AK - Austria Klagenfurt	3:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.08.25	Grazer AK - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Rheindorf Altach - Grazer AK	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTT
- Rapid Wien
Austrian OFB Cup
17.09.25	Oberwart - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.09.25	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Rapid Wien - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
31.08.25	Hartberg - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Rapid Wien - Győri ETO	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
16.03.25	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	3:0
27.10.24	Grazer AK - Rapid Wien	1:1
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	1:0

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