Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. LIGA - ROUND 4

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)


	Grazer AK		Sturm Graz B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	5.5	8
	1.25	5.6	6.75
	1.3	6.05	8.17
	1.3	5.7	8.6	Watch
	1.27	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.63)	5.65 ↑ (3.8)	7.9 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grazer AK
72%

Draw
16.3%

Sturm Graz B
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grazer AK's performance.

Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturm Graz B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grazer AK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Grazer AK - Sturm Graz B Predictions

Users Predictions: Grazer AK will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meierhofer J. (G) 21. Lang M. 30. Jovicic M. 19. Gantschnig M. 27. Rosenberger B. 20. Schriebl T. 13. Perchtold M. 23. Jager P. 99. Cheukoua M. 10. Lichtenberger C. 9. Maderner D.	40. Bignetti M. (G) 21. Stuckler S. 24. Schopp K. 6. Haider G. 18. Grube L. 13. Amreich M. 17. Locker J. 10. Ilic A. 9. Kiedl P. 8. Karner J. 29. Fuseini M.
Substitutes
11. Eloshvili L. 24. Kochl F. 26. Nicht C. (G) 5. Oberleitner Y. 6. Rusek M. 17. Schiestl T. 7. Zaizen A.	38. Camara A. 22. Grgic L. 20. Lieber J. 33. Lorenz E. (G) 16. Scharmer T. 26. Wolf J.
Coaches
Messner G.	Hosele T.

Preview

Grazer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sturm Graz B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Grazer is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Grazer to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grazer won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grazer won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grazer AK
Austrian 2 Liga
11.08.23	First Vienna - Grazer AK	2:3 ✺
04.08.23	Dornbirn - Grazer AK	0:1 ✺
28.07.23	Grazer AK - Amstetten	3:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
22.07.23	Bad Gleichenberg - Grazer AK	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Grazer AK - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
13.08.23	Sturm Graz B - Floridsdorfer AC	2:2 ✺
06.08.23	First Vienna - Sturm Graz B	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Sturm Graz B - St. Pölten	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Sturm Graz B - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Heiligenkreuz am Waasen - Sturm Graz B	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
31.03.23	Sturm Graz B - Grazer AK	2:3
01.10.22	Grazer AK - Sturm Graz B	1:1
Austrian Regionalliga Central
15.03.19	Sturm Graz B - Grazer AK	0:1
03.08.18	Grazer AK - Sturm Graz B	3:2

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