Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 22

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Grei		Drøbak-Frogn

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.15	3.15
	1.83	4.3	3.04
	1.00	12.93	25.00	Watch
	1.78	4.12	3.61
	2	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2)	5.85 ↑ (3.8)	7.56 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grei
66.2%

Draw
19.1%

Drøbak-Frogn
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

24%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grei's performance.

Drøbak-Frogn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drøbak-Frogn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grei than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grei that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drøbak-Frogn than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drøbak-Frogn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grei - Drøbak Frogn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Laajab I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Laajab I. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)

Recent performances by Grei have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Drøbak-Frogn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grei may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grei might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grei won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Grei won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.09.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Grei	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Grei - Odd 2	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Stabæk 2 - Grei	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Grei - Kvik Halden	0:7 ✺
23.08.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Grei	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWLW
- Drøbak-Frogn
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
24.09.25	Drøbak-Frogn - Fredrikstad 2	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Drøbak-Frogn - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Flint - Drøbak-Frogn	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Ørn-Horten - Drøbak-Frogn	3:4 ✺
23.08.25	Drøbak-Frogn - Ready	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
14.09.19	Drøbak-Frogn - Grei	0:3
04.05.19	Grei - Drøbak-Frogn	1:3

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