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Current Win Probability
Buckley Town 54.1%
Draw 22.1%
Holyhead Hotspur 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
23.5%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
22.9%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buckley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Holyhead Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Owen C. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 0 - 2, Owen C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buckley Town won 1.
Buckley Town has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Holyhead has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Buckley Town could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Buckley Town for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Buckley Town has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:17 (averaging 2.3:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Buckley Town against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 3:3 per game).
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