Match Info

Cymru North - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Buckley Town		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.65	5.15
	1.45	4.92	5.19
	6.10	4.96	1.41	Watch
	1.41	4.65	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.57)	4.8 ↑ (4.1)	4.37 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buckley Town
46.8%

Draw
25.3%

Holyhead Hotspur
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buckley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buckley Town's form might have worsened.

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holyhead Hotspur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buckley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holyhead Hotspur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buckley Town (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Meek L. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Williams C. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Moore M. ⚽,
50', 1 - 3, Jones I. ⚽,
56', 2 - 3, Knight B. ⚽,
64', 3 - 3, Littler C. ⚽,
76', 4 - 3, Knight B. ⚽,
84', 4 - 4, Buckley C. ⚽,
90', 5 - 4, Knight B. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 5, Roberts J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Buckley Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Holyhead has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Buckley Town is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buckley Town won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Buckley Town won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
05.09.25	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Buckley Town - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Buckley Town - Ruthin Town	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Brickfield Rangers - Buckley Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWL
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rhyl - Holyhead Hotspur	4:3 ✺
22.08.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town	0:4
Welsh Cymru North
10.04.23	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2
20.08.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town	2:0
09.04.22	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2
06.11.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town	1:2

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