Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 26

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Gresford Athletic		Flint Town United

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.5	1.25
	6.86	5.71	1.25
	6.86	5.71	1.25
	8.45	5.6	1.25
	7.6	5.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.65 ↑ (5.17)	5.58 ↑ (5)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
11.8%

Draw
16.2%

Flint Town United
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

18.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

18%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gresford Athletic's form might have worsened.

Flint Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Town United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gresford Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 3).

Recent matches Gresford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flint Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Gresford have a series of guest games.

In this match Flint Town is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gresford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
02.03.24	Porthmadog - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Caersws - Gresford Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
02.02.24	Gresford Athletic - Bangor 1876	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Holywell Town - Gresford Athletic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLL
- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru North
02.03.24	Caersws - Flint Town United	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Flint Town United - Bangor 1876	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Holywell Town - Flint Town United	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Flint Town United - Chirk AAA	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Guilsfield - Flint Town United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.08.23	Flint Town United - Gresford Athletic	3:0

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