Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 25

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Porthmadog		Gresford Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.85
	2.08	3.62	2.81
	2.09	3.66	2.9
	2.07	3.65	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)	3.67 ↑ (3.64)	2.85 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porthmadog
43.5%

Draw
24.7%

Gresford Athletic
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

24.8%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Porthmadog have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gresford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gresford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gresford have a series of guest games.

Porthmadog will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Porthmadog won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Porthmadog won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
24.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Caersws - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Porthmadog - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
02.02.24	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	3:1 ✺
27.01.24	Porthmadog - Llanidloes Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL
- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
24.02.24	Caersws - Gresford Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
02.02.24	Gresford Athletic - Bangor 1876	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Holywell Town - Gresford Athletic	4:1 ✺
20.01.24	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
09.09.23	Gresford Athletic - Porthmadog	2:3
07.04.23	Gresford Athletic - Porthmadog	3:1
02.08.22	Porthmadog - Gresford Athletic	0:1

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