Match Info

Cymru North - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Penrhyncoch		Buckley Town

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.95	1.78
	3.17	4.51	1.81
	3.67	4.74	1.70	Watch
	3.42	4.15	1.86
	3.14	4	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (5)	4.27 ↓ (4.4)	1.8 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
27.4%

Draw
21.5%

Buckley Town
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

20.6%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

20.1%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penrhyncoch's performance.

Buckley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buckley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penrhyncoch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buckley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Davies R. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 0, Burrell I. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Owen D. ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, James J. ⚽,
81', 5 - 0, Phillips D. ⚽,
82', 6 - 0, Owen D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 1.

Penrhyncoch has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Buckley Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Penrhyncoch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Penrhyncoch has had a series of away games.

In this match, Buckley Town is a strong favorite.

We predict that Buckley Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Caernarfon Town - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
08.11.25	Brickfield Rangers - Penrhyncoch	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rhyl - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Penrhyncoch - Flint Mountain	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
08.11.25	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Buckley Town - Caersws	4:3 ✺
24.10.25	Buckley Town - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	0:7 ✺
03.10.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
15.02.25	Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town	0:0
26.07.24	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	0:0
05.11.22	Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town	3:3
Welsh League Cup
23.07.22	Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town	0:2
Welsh Cymru North
22.01.22	Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town	1:0
21.08.21	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	2:3

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