Match Info

Virsliga - Relegation - Final

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Grobiņas pilsētas stadions (Grobina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV
World	Onefootball


	Grobiņa		JDFS Alberts

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	1.68	3.97	4.47	Watch
	1.66	3.74	4.32
	1.71	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)	3.92 ↓ (4.45)	4.51 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobiņa
56.4%

Draw
23.4%

JDFS Alberts
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

22%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grobiņa's form might have worsened.

JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grobiņa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JDFS Alberts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	5.6%	44.4%

Grobiņa - JDFS Alberts Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Grobiņa will win (votes: 9 - 50%). JDFS Alberts will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grobiņa: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Grobiņa (votes: 3 - 33.3%). JDFS Alberts (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - JDFS Alberts (2.88) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - JDFS Alberts (2.91) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - JDFS Alberts (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Grobiņa (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Grobiņa (votes: 4 - 22.2%). JDFS Alberts (votes: 14 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 27. Baravykas R. 16. Sidorovs M. 13. Dzerins R. 7. Krautmanis J. 32. Kluskins G. (C) 97. Grjaznovs A. 9. Agapov M. 8. Knapsis E. 11. Rascevskis O. 99. Puzirevskis A.	1. Malins G. (C) 2. Romanovs K. 7. Viksna H. 20. Marusii M. 8. Maksimovs K. 14. Andersons K. 21. Suffian K. 17. Zegele M. 5. Indrans D. 39. Kalpaks J. 4. Aditajs R.
Substitutes
43. Bekili P. 10. Dobrecovs D. 23. Fjodorovs M. 19. Gaucis R. 6. Mickevics T. 12. Pincuks N. (G)	10. Brahmanis M. 30. Freimanis E. (G) 18. Krisjanis R. 11. Pirktins K. 23. Prohorenkovs M. 9. Rosa F. 3. Spade M. 25. Sticenko K. 37. Zageris D.
Coaches
Klava O.	Zakresevskis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Zegele M. 🟨,
36', Grjaznovs A. 🟨,
38', Knapsis E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zegele M. ↓, Brahmanis M. ↑,
46', Knapsis E. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
49', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
58', Baravykas R. 🟨,
62', Kluskins G. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
65', Suffian K. ↓, Prohorenkovs M. ↑,
73', Kalpaks J. ↓, Rosa F. ↑,
74', Indrans D. 🟨,
81', Dzerins R. 🟨,
87', Indrans D. ↓, Pirktins K. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2.

Recent performances by Grobiņa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

JDFS Alberts is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Grobiņa is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
09.11.25	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Grobiņa - Riga	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	RFS - Grobiņa	5:0 ✺
18.10.25	Grobiņa - Super Nova	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLTW
- JDFS Alberts
Latvian 1 Liga
08.11.25	JDFS Alberts - Riga Mariners	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Augšdaugavas - JDFS Alberts	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	JDFS Alberts - Tukums 2000 2	4:3 ✺
18.10.25	Ogre United - JDFS Alberts	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
23.11.24	JDFS Alberts - Grobiņa	0:2
20.11.24	Grobiņa - JDFS Alberts	2:3
30.09.23	JDFS Alberts - Grobiņa	2:2
28.05.23	Grobiņa - JDFS Alberts	1:0
08.10.22	JDFS Alberts - Grobiņa	1:1
29.05.22	Grobiņa - JDFS Alberts	1:0
19.09.21	JDFS Alberts - Grobiņa	1:1

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