Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 22

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	JDFS Alberts		JFK Ventspils

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.37	5.37	Watch
	1.45	4.3	5.68
	1.48	4.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	3.97 ↓ (4.3)	5.35 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JDFS Alberts
59.9%

Draw
23%

JFK Ventspils
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

20.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malins G. (C) 4. Aditajs R. 14. Andersons K. 5. Indrans D. 8. Maksimovs K. 20. Marusii M. 12. Ozolins R. 2. Romanovs K. 21. Suffian K. 7. Viksna H. 17. Zegele M.	1. Petrovs A. (C) 7. Aliyu A. 14. Bojaruns V. 20. Dembele M. 22. Essennouni Y. 5. Feldmans M. 11. Gaisins J. 6. Hounlete P. 17. Liepajnieks V. 23. Lucins A. 10. Okeke A.
Substitutes
10. Brahmanis M. 22. Guliaks R. 30. Jautaikis K. (G) 18. Penka R. 11. Pirktins K. 23. Prohorenkovs M. 3. Spade M. 25. Sticenko K. 37. Zageris D.	13. Jurcenko A. 26. Lengvenis M. 9. Markovs K. 16. Mukaev A. (G) 32. Rungis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Zegele M. 🟨,
41', Feldmans M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Marusii M. ⚽,
44', Romanovs K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aliyu A. ↓, Rungis A. ↑,
58', Feldmans M. ↓, Markovs K. ↑,
63', Zegele M. ↓, Brahmanis M. ↑,
64', Suffian K. 🟨,
68', Suffian K. ↓, Prohorenkovs M. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Indrans D. ⚽,
90', Indrans D. ↓, Penka R. ↑,
90+3', Bojaruns V. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Brahmanis M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 4).

JDFS Alberts is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

JFK Ventspils's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

JDFS Alberts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, JDFS Alberts is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JDFS Alberts won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JDFS Alberts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JDFS Alberts
Latvian 1 Liga
28.09.25	Olaine - JDFS Alberts	1:6 ✺
20.09.25	JDFS Alberts - Leevon PPK	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Mārupe - JDFS Alberts	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	JDFS Alberts - Skanstes	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Riga 2 - JDFS Alberts	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLTW
- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
27.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Rīgas FS 2	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Augšdaugavas - JFK Ventspils	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	JFK Ventspils - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
25.05.25	JFK Ventspils - JDFS Alberts	1:1
26.10.24	JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils	2:0
06.07.24	JFK Ventspils - JDFS Alberts	0:2
28.10.23	JFK Ventspils - JDFS Alberts	2:3
08.07.23	JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils	2:1

JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide